EUR/USD Lifted by USDX’s Drop!| KOL Analysis•Olimpiu Tuns
EUR/USD
is traded at 1.1289 level and it seems determined to resume its upside
movement after a short term consolidation. The greenback depreciates as
the USDX plunges again in the short term.To get more news about WikiFX, you can visit wikifx news official website.
A USDX‘s further decline will boost the EUR/USD, the pair is almost
to take out a major dynamic resistance, this scenario will attract more
buyers. Only a USDX’s rebound will push EUR/USD down.
The dollar
needs strong support from the US economy to recover, the ISM
Non-Manufacturing PMI will be released today and it is expected to
increase from 45.4 to 50.0 points in June, a major increase, expansion,
could help the USD to increase and to recapture ground till the end of
the day.
Also, the US Final Services PMI could climb from 46.7 to
47.0 points, worse than expected figures today could validate the USDs
decline in the upcoming period. The pair is challenging a strong dynamic
resistance, so only a valid breakout will bring a long opportunity.
The
US Dollar Index has found strong resistance at the 61.8% retracement
level, failing to reach the upper median line (UML) of the major
descending pitchfork. It has also failed to reach the median line (ml)
of the sideways orange pitchfork signaling a bearish pressure in the
short term.
Still, I believe that the dollar index will touch the
upper median line (UML) sooner or later, when it will end the current
drop. I‘ve said in my previous analysis that we’ll have a bullish
reversal on the USDX if the rate will make a valid breakout above the
upper median line (UML).
The bearish pressure is still high as
long as the price is traded within the descending pitchforks body, a
larger drop will signal the EUR/USD broader increase.
EUR/USD has
come back higher and now is challenging the upper median line (UML) of
the descending pitchfork, a valid breakout above this dynamic resistance
will validate a further increase towards R1 (1.1403), and towards the
1.1494 high.
The several false breakdowns below the 1.1200
psychological level have signaled that the bulls are still very strong
on the Daily chart. The outlook is bullish as long as the price is
traded above the 1.1200 level.
You should wait for a valid
breakout before going long, another false breakout above the UML will
suggest selling because most likely EUR/USD will decline and will
stabilize below the 1.1200 level.
The current sideways movement
could represent a continuation pattern in the short term, the R2
(1.1573) is seen as a potential target as well if the rate will close
and stabilize right above the upper median line (UML).
On the
other hand, another false breakout above the UML and a valid breakdown
below the 1.1200 will open the door for a further decline towards the
1.1 level, or even lower, the median line could attract the price if it
stays within the pitchforks body.
The Wall